•
Global synthesis of the
crisis
• The sub-primes crisis
and the mechanisms of the crisis
• Transmission of
the crisis through securitization
Transmission
of the crisis through securitization:
The failures have led to a chain reaction on the markets. The
first driving belt of the crisis lies in the phenomenon of claims
securitization that has become a common phenomenon since the
beginning of the 2000s: securitization vehicles.
Securitization, which is a sophisticated financial technique,
is another major financial innovation of capitalism of post
war years, it consists in cutting in categories, called bonds,
the loans granted by a bank or a credit society, then to resell
the sum, which means a risk, to other financial agents belonging
to the world of investment fund. Thus a wide credit market is
created, which is also a market of risks. It is the collapse
of this market that provoked the current crisis. So, securitization
is the financial operation unrecognized by the borrower thanks
to which a bank sells its « claims » back on specialized
markets, often grouped with other values. In other words, securitization
consists in transferring « assets » or « credit
risks » under a structured form to third part investors.
This enables at the same time to refinance and reduce its risk
(that is transferred to the investors who buy those claims).
Securitized credits are bought back by investors (classic investment
fund, more speculative funds…). It gives rise to an issue
of stocks on funds markets, related to subjacent assets (mortgage
credits, for example) and grouped by « categories».
Some of these categories included credits threatened by the
failures or defaults of payment of households. Then investors
withdrawn themselves from those products that they considered
to be too risky.
Consequently, some funds were not able to be listed. The lack
of demand for some stocks held in those funds has indeed prevented
the calculation of the liquidate value resulting from the confrontation
of the supply and the demand.
The « sub prime » market has been massively financed
by securitization, claims being grouped in financing vehicles
« ad hoc » and transformed into negotiable stocks
subscribed by investors. So, securitization enabled the major
actors of the credit sphere to off-load, by making them liquid,
insolvency risks of their investors.
From the beginning of 2007, the « sub primes » credit
crisis has created a doubt on all the vehicles of claims securitization,
first mortgage claims concerning especially American real estate
(Residential Mortgage Backed Security, or RMBS), but also on
all the diversified claims called CDO (Collateralised Debt Obligation).
They are indeed all the forms of credit securitization vehicles
(ABS, RMBS, CDO and their variants) that have become suspicious
in the eyes of investors, at the beginning and especially during
the summer 2007, fearing that they might bear risky claims in
general and «sub primes »in particular.
Operators often have fawning behaviours and the information
often spreads very quickly on markets. The deviance toward products
of securitization has spread to other market segments, including
the one of « Commercial Paper » (negotiable claim
stocks issued by firms on the monetary market so in short term),
that represent huge sums. Investors who no longer trust their
assets, if they have withdrawn themselves – transfer on
tools they consider to be safer. Consequently, this fall of
demand led to a drying out of liquidity on the markets.
Secondly, the transmission of the crisis is made by investment
funds that have themselves bought claims of securitization.
« Sub prime » credits, offering high yields because
of the payment by the borrower of a higher interest rate than
the market award, investors have practised a strong demand of
this type of products in order to dope the performances of their
investment funds or OPCVM.
These funds turned into difficulties because of the fall of
the value of their assets. The collapse of the value of two
investment funds of the American bank « Bear Stearns »,
on July 17th, 2007, gave the signal of the crisis of confidence.
The announcement, which took place the same night of a record
session at the New York Stock Exchange (14.000 points reached
in session), will give the signal of the decline. It is now
all the investment funds that will become suspect.
Some funds had, however, from 2006, planned that a real estate
crisis was coming and they had taken opposite positions to everyone
by speculating on the collapse of financial products related
to risky real estate.
Finally, those investment funds belong or are financed by banks
(hedge funds), it is a financing by lever effect, meaning with
few funds and many loans. Therefore, banks by this mean take
back the risks they had first entrusted to the markets. The
financial community has then realized, around July 2007, that
the entire banking system was bearing credit risks, not only
in the funds financed by banks, but also in the funds they were
managing. Thus, claims of securitization with high yield (and
so high-risk according to the MEDAF) where present in some monetary
ICVC, investments that were so far considered to be without
any risk, the « dynamic monetary ICVC ». Hence a
sudden fall of the monetary ICVC promotion in the first days
of august 2007.