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• Liquidity risk.        • Rate risk.
• Exchange risk.      • Credit risk.

The liquidity risk

The liquidity risk comes from the transformation role of a bank which uses term is generally superior to the resources term, inherent transformation to the banking activity. It refers to financial investments that are hard to liquidate (meaning to sell) very quickly. It does not mean avoiding transformation but being able to evaluate it, in case of liquidity crisis and considering the schedule of assets and liabilities, how long will it takes and at what price will the bank be able to honour its commitments. This question has two aspects, the measure of the liquidity risk and its management.
On the markets, in tensed periods, a liquidity race can happen, and the investors who have taken an important liquidity risk can suffer from major losses.
Banks mainly receive short-term deposits from their customers and make medium or long-term loans. A discrepancy can appear between amounts lent and available amounts (deposits), those ones can be insufficient. In this case we are talking about liquidity shortage.

A- The liquidity risk measure

Several methods exist to measure the liquidity risk, methods that have often been developed by monetary authorities which are in charge of the prevention of this risk. These methods have in common the possibility to first establish a date of payments profile.

1) Due date profile:

A due date profile is a chart that classifies assets and liabilities according the amount of time left and that present the following characteristics:

liquidity risk

>> Due date categories are more or less subtle, and this according to the assets and liabilities term. For close dates of payment, the categories cover short periods of time, for remote dates of payment; the categories cover long periods of time. Indeed, it is necessary to know precisely the liabilities coming to fall due in the up-coming days although such precision no longer exists for six months due dates, a year or even more.

>> Assets and liabilities are evaluated with the greatest accuracy possible, which leads to solve several difficulties:

• The evaluation of off-balance sheet commitments. Those commitments have been considerably developed in banks those past years with security nets, confirmed credits, on the operations of exchange term or financial tools and options.
The payability of those commitments is subjected to a future but certain event. If it is difficult to evaluate the incomings and outgoings of funds resulting from those operations, it is however necessary to estimate them on the basis of past observations or even by enforcing a cautious principle: the uncertain nature of those flows is left aside and the off-balance commitments are brought back into the due date profile.

• Assets and liabilities without specification term. It is, for example, the cash balance of the bank, insight deposits or common equity. Insight deposits should appear in the category of the closest due date for their refund can happen at any time. But experience shows that insight deposits are particularly stable, for they are spread between a large number of depositors. That is why, in some methods of liquidity risk counting – including the one of banking commission- uses and resources without stipulation term are not taking into account.

• The Assets and liabilities of juridical due date differing from their practical due date. Some credits, so as overdrafts, have a short-term due date; but as they are regularly renewed, the bank seems more committed with those kind of credits than with, for example, medium-term credits. Other credits of this kind include early refund clauses than can change the due dates. It is therefore the experience acquired by the bank in that field that will allow it to establish the least due date profile.

>> The due date profile, like a balance sheet, presents an instantaneous characteristic. Therefore, it has to be regularly updated.

2) The calculation of a liquidity index:

Three methods of a liquidity index calculation will be suggested:

>> Successive dead-ends method: a dead-end is defined as this: for a category of due dates, it is the difference between assets and liabilities. We then calculate for each category a dead-end which is an amount indicator, the length and due date of the transformation made by the bank. The calculation highlights the due date discordances as well as the maximum funds outgoings that the bank will have to face, time after time.

>> Accumulated dead-ends method: the due date profile is combined by categories and we then calculate the accumulated liabilities and assets by due date and then the accumulated dead-ends. The amount and the claim event date of the maximum financing need are determined.

>> Numbers method : this method balances the assets and liabilities of each category by the average number of days of each category. Then we calculate the ratio:

of balanced liabilities / of balanced assets

• If the ratio is superior or equal “1”, it means that the bank does not transform for it has more balanced resources than balanced uses.

• The weaker the ratio is, the more the bank transforms short-term resources into long-term use.

The banking commission calculates the liquidity indexes concerning the change into francs by distinguishing the operations with the customers and the treasury and inter-banking operations as well as the change into currencies.

Beyond the exposure to the liquidity risk, the calculation of indexes also enables to evaluate the illiquidity cost: for a given due date, the dead-end measures the amount of the loan to make in order to balance the deficit and the loan rate, the cost of the coverage of the liquidity risk.

B- The management of liquidity risk

Broadly speaking, the management of liquidity risk consists in borrowing additional resources that will enable to honour due dates: it is therefore based on the easiness of access of a bank to the different funds markets that also depend on elements such as the notoriety, the size, the profitability and the quality of the shareholder, all elements that funds contributors take into account. But the borrowing bank may have to borrow at high rates (in case of a crisis on the exchange market, for example) and to bear a negative interests margin.

Thus, according to its easiness of access to the markets and the costs that come from them, a bank accepts a more or less important transformation. Consequently, the bank sets limits to different categories of the due dates profile in order to maintain the liquidity risk in the desirable limits.

   
         
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