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1- The basel committee
2- Basel I
3- Basel II

3- BASEL II

• Introduction
• The pillars of Basel II

• Basel II, what consequences for firms?
• The impact of Basel II on western markets of securitization

• The pillars of Basel II

Basel II recommendations rely on three pillars:

- pillar I: the demand of equity (solvency ratio McDonough):

It is mainly a banking ratio but it is more precise than the ratio Cooke for it takes into account the risk more or less high of the various loans granted by a financing establishment and fix a limit to the balanced outstanding of the loans granted by the financial establishment depending on its equity. The level of commitment from banks is then limited by their own financial solidity. This ratio enables to set up the cautious arbitrage.

It refines the 1988 Bâle I Agreement and wants to make the equity coherent with the risks truly incurred by financial establishments. Among the novelties, there are the operational risks (fraud and system breakdown) and market risks, in addition to credit and counterparty risk.

We then go from the ratio Cooke where (Bank equity >8% of credit risks), to the ration McDonough where (Bank equity >8% of the credit risks (75%) + market risks (5 %=) + operational risks (20%).

Those credits are formulated thanks to probabilities that apply on the one year outstanding of the customer: the DTD (display at the time of defect):

- DP = Defect Probability of the counterparty
- LGD = Rate of loss in case of defect on the credit line.

In addition, the calculation of the credit risks becomes clear by a more subtle balance of the outstanding (balance outstanding= RWA) and it takes into account:

- the defect risk of the counterparty (the borrower)
- the risk on the credit line (type of credit, lenght, guarantee)
- the outstanding

For the credit risk, banks can use different mechanisms of evaluation:

• The « standard » method that consists in using rating systems provided by external organisms. In this method, DP and LGD are imposed by the regulator (bank’s commission in France) directly from the DP or by the JGD, or by imposing a rating organism.

• The « sophisticated » methods (method IRB for Internal Rating Based) with the IRB-Foundation method and the Advanced-IRB method which involve internal methodologies and peculiar to the rating financial establishment of evaluation of the quotations or marks, in order to measure the relative risk of the credit. In the IRB-Foundation method, the bank estimates that its DP and the LGD still have to be imposed by the regulator. In Advanced-IRB method, the bank controls all its components.

The choice of the method by a bank (more or less complex) enables the identification of its own risks according to its management. The bank that would like to closer to reality will tend to choose an advanced method. But in return, the investment is even more important: the calculation of a LGD requires the management and the historicizing of more then 1500 monthly data on a minimum of five years on each granted credit.

The determination of the credit risk is then simple:

RWA= f x (PD; LGD) x EAD
Where « f » follows a normal law
It is completed by the calculation of an expected loss: EL = PD x LGD x EAD

In the ratio McDonough: Equity taken into account / (Credit risk + Market risk) > 8%.

The sum of the RWA of each customer will compose the credit risk, ad the EL will be modified by the rules of supplying of equity.

- pillar II: The surveillance procedure of the management of equity:

The financial strategies of banks vary according to the composition of the asset and the risk-taking, which means that the central banks will have more freedom in the setting up of norms toward banks; they could increase the capital demands when they find it necessary. This rule will enable to face the various financial strategies of banks: composition of their asset, risk-taking…

In fact, this part helps examining the essential principles of cautious surveillance and it includes recommendations about the management of risks as well as the transparence and the cautious responsibilities.

This necessity will be applied according to two ways:

- Validation of the statistic methods used in the pillar I (back testing) where the bank will have to prove a posteriori the validity of its methods defined according to its statistic data and this on quiet long periods (from five to seven years). It will also have to be able to «draw » the origin of its data.

- Validity test of the equity in case of an economic crisis where the bank will have to prove that on its customers’ segments, its equity is enough to bear an economic crisis affecting one or all the sectors.

Indeed, the banking commission will be able, according to its results, to impose the necessity of additional equity.

- pillar III : The market discipline :

The enforcement of Basel II is a powerful machine that «format » the management data of a bank. Rules of transparency are established toward the information for public use on the asset, the risks and their management. Its consequences consist of three orders for the pillar III:

1) Standardisation of the good banking practices: whatever the bank and the regulation that governs it (national rights), the practices have to be transparent and standardised.

2) The setting up of the data for this calculation that are a powerful source of management data, which (finally) reconcile the risky, countable and financial views.

3) Financial transparency: the analysts will finally find a reading for the portfolios of similar risk for any bank in the country.

These recommendations are translated into the legislations of the member states. The Basel accords are currently applied in more than a hundred countries. The Basel II Agreement is completely applied in the European Union from January, 1st, 2007.

   
         
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